Sub-3:15 marathon: VO2max 49

Running a sub-3:15 marathon takes a running VO2max (VDOT) of about 48.7 and an even pace of 4:37/km (7:26/mile).

VO2max needed
48.7
Pace per km
4:37
Pace per mile
7:26

Even-pace splits

DistanceSplit
5 km23:06
10 km46:13
15 km1:09:19
20 km1:32:26
Half (21.1 km)1:37:30
25 km1:55:32
30 km2:18:39
35 km2:41:45
40 km3:04:51
Marathon3:15:00

Training paces for this goal

PacePer km
Easy5:14–5:46
Marathon4:37
Threshold4:21
Interval (VO2max)4:01
Repetition3:46

Use these for easy runs, tempo runs and VO2max intervals. A key session for this goal: Long runs of 28–32 km with 2–3 × 5 km at goal pace (4:37/km).

Equivalent race times

5K10KHalf marathonMarathon
20:2442:171:33:403:15:00

If you can already run these, the goal is within reach once you are trained for the distance. Marathon equivalents are optimistic for most runners — endurance, fuelling and pacing matter as much as VO2max (see marathon training and VO2max).

What a VO2max of 49 means for your age: is a VO2max of 49 good?

Training plan

Follow a structured plan: Marathon training plan, with a taper in the last 1–2 weeks.

Frequently asked questions

What VO2max do you need for a sub-3:15 marathon?

About 48.7 ml/kg/min of running VO2max (VDOT) if you are fully trained for the distance. Watch VO2max estimates often read a few points differently from VDOT.

What pace is a sub-3:15 marathon?

4:37 per km or 7:26 per mile, run evenly.

What 5K time matches a sub-3:15 marathon?

About 20:24 on the same VDOT model.

Is a sub-3:15 marathon good?

A VO2max of 49 is rated "excellent" for men in their 30s and "superior" for women in their 30s on Cooper Institute norms.

Other marathon goals: Sub-5 · Sub-4:30 · Sub-4 · Sub-3:45 · Sub-3:30 · Sub-3 · Sub-2:45 · Sub-2:30 · Marathon pace chart

Sources

  • Daniels J, Gilbert J. Oxygen Power: Performance Tables for Distance Runners, 1979 (VDOT model).
  • Daniels J. Daniels' Running Formula. Human Kinetics.

Model estimates for a runner trained for the distance; heat, hills, course and pacing change real results.